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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
06.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Marseille - Toulouse

France Football
Marseille
Marseille
3 : 2
Finished
Toulouse
Toulouse

Marseille go head-to-head with Toulouse on April 6, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Marseille 2-1-2, Toulouse 1-1-3. Sportsbooks lean towards Marseille, an implied 55% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marseille - Toulouse April 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 4.01 / 2 4.65
  • 1X2 market: Marseille 55.2% / X 24.1% / Toulouse 20.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 55.2%
X 24.1%
2 20.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 56.1%
Under 2.5 43.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Market 1 55.2% @ 1.75 / X 24.1% @ 4.01 / 2 20.8% @ 4.65
Match center

Marseille - Toulouse

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.65 market consensus · line only
X 4.01 market consensus · line only
1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.15 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.75 57.1%
X 4.01 24.9%
4.65 21.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.15 46.5%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.72 58.1%
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.33 75.2%
3.51 28.5%
Match center
Marseille
L W D L W
27.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
20.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 5:0 Montpellier
04.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 1:1 AngersAngers
29.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
22.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:2 LionLion
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Toulouse
W D L L L
27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 3:0 Montpellier
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:1 AngersAngers
05.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:2 LilleLille
29.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:2 LionLion
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Toulouse

Marseille
0 matches total
Toulouse
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history