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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
14.09.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Metz - Angers

France Football
Metz
Metz
1 : 1
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Metz - Angers September 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Metz.

Line favourite market consensus: Metz. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.27 / X 3.28 / 2 3.30
  • 1X2 market: Metz 42.0% / X 29.1% / Angers 28.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 42.0%
X 29.1%
2 28.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 45.5%
Under 2.5 54.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Metz - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.30 market consensus · line only
X 3.28 market consensus · line only
1 2.27 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.26 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.33 42.9%
X 3.29 30.4%
3.38 29.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.24 44.6% 2.29 43.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.30 43.5%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.25 30.8%
3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.48 28.7% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8% 1.89 52.9%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.69 59.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.58 63.3%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Metz
L L L D D
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:3 Paris FCParis FC
23.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:3 LionLion
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
29.05 18:30 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:1 Reims
21.05 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:1 Reims
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Angers
D L W L W
31.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 RennesRennes
22.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:0 Paris FCParis FC
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:2 LionLion
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMetz - Angers

Metz
0 matches total
Angers
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history