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Ligue 1 France

06.02.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction

06.02.2026 19:45 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Metz - Lille

France Football

Metz

0 : 0

Finished

Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Metz - Lille February 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.28 / X 4.33 / 2 1.54
1X2 market: Metz 15.3% / X 22.3% / Lille 62.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%

1 15.3%

X 22.2%

2 62.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%

Over 2.5 55.2%

Under 2.5 44.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 06.02.2026 19:45 UTC

Match center

Metz - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.55 market consensus · line only

X 4.32 market consensus · line only

1 6.29 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.14 market consensus · line only

12 1.24 market consensus · line only

1X 2.56 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.14 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.90 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 5.75 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.97 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	6.31 15.9%
X	4.29 23.3%
	1.56 64.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	6.25 16.0%	6.25 16.0%	6.31 15.9%	6.31 15.9%
X	4.33 23.1%	4.40 22.7%	4.29 23.3%	4.29 23.3%
	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.56 64.1%	1.56 64.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.95 51.3%	1.92 52.1%	2.03 49.3%
yes	1.80 55.6%	1.79 55.9%	1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.12 89.3%	1.14 87.7%	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.24 80.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	2.50 40.0%	2.56 39.1%	2.59 38.6%	2.59 38.6%

Match center

Metz

L L L D L

01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Metz 0:1 Angers

25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Metz 2:5 Lion

18.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1

Metz 1:2 Strasbourg

04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Metz 1:1 Lorient

13.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1

Metz 2:3 Paris Saint Germain

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

1.2 Scored

2.4 Conceded

1 Points

Lille

L L L L W

01.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 0:1 Lion

25.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 1:4 Strasbourg

16.01 20:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 0:3 Paris Saint Germain

03.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 0:2 Rennes

14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 4:3 Auxerre

1 Wins

0 Draws

4 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.6 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMetz - Lille

Metz

1 matches total

Lille

Metz: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Lille: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Lille 1:6 (26.10 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 7 goals (1:6, 26.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 6

6 Goals conceded 1

Match history

26.10 14:00 UTC

Ligue 1

Metz

1:6

Lille