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Start
13.12.2025 18:00 UTC
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13.12.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Metz - Paris Saint Germain
2
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Metz - Paris Saint Germain December 13, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 9.69 / X 6.37 / 2 1.26
- 1X2 market: Metz 9.9% / X 15.0% / Paris Saint Germain 75.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 71.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
9.8%
X
14.9%
2
75.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5
71.1%
Under 2.5
28.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Metz - Paris Saint Germain
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.26
market consensus · line only
X
6.40
market consensus · line only
1
9.33
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.06
market consensus · line only
12
1.12
market consensus · line only
1X
3.79
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.07
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.01
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.28
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.36
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.32
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.25
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.17
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.65
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 10.36 9.7% | |
| X | 6.78 14.8% |
| 1.26 79.4% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.50 10.5% | 9.60 10.4% | 10.90 9.2% | 9.50 10.5% | 9.00 11.1% | 10.00 10.0% | |
| X | 6.00 16.7% | 6.70 14.9% | 6.45 15.5% | 5.75 17.4% | 7.00 14.3% | 6.60 15.2% |
| 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.19 45.7% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.06 94.3% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_draw | 3.75 26.7% | 3.88 25.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.92 25.5% |
Match center
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Nice
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Nantes
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Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.6
Conceded
6
Points
Paris Saint Germain
W
L
W
W
W
06.12 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
5:0
Rennes
Rennes
29.11 16:00 UTC
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Paris Saint Germain
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Monaco
Monaco
22.11 20:05 UTC
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Paris Saint Germain
3:0
Le Havre
Le Havre
09.11 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:2
Lion
Lion
01.11 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:0
Nice
Nice
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.4
Scored
0.6
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMetz - Paris Saint Germain
Metz
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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