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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
28.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Metz - Rennes

France Football
Metz
Metz
0 : 1
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Metz face Rennes on November 28, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Metz 3-0-2, Rennes 3-1-1. The bookmaker line makes Rennes the favourite at about 53%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Metz - Rennes November 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.29 / X 3.90 / 2 1.77
  • 1X2 market: Metz 22.1% / X 24.4% / Rennes 53.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 22.1%
X 24.3%
2 53.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 59.1%
Under 2.5 40.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Market 1 22.1% @ 4.29 / X 24.3% @ 3.90 / 2 53.6% @ 1.77
Match center

Metz - Rennes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.91 market consensus · line only
1 4.31 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.22 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 2.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.32 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.31 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.52 22.1%
X 4.04 24.8%
1.78 56.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.33 23.1% 4.30 23.3% 4.41 22.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.45 22.5%
X 3.85 26.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.11 24.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.43 41.2%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.24 80.7%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3%
Match center
Metz
L W W W L
23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:3 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:1 NiceNice
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:0 NantesNantes
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:0 LensLens
26.10 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:6 LilleLille
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
9 Points
Rennes
W W W D L
22.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 4:1 MonacoMonaco
07.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 Paris FCParis FC
02.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 4:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 ToulouseToulouse
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:2 NiceNice
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMetz - Rennes

Metz
0 matches total
Rennes
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history