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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
01.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Metz - Stade Brestois 29

France Football
Metz
Metz
0 : 1
Finished
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29

Metz face Stade Brestois 29 on March 1, 2026 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Metz 0-1-4, Stade Brestois 29 2-2-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Stade Brestois 29 the favourite at about 45%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Metz - Stade Brestois 29 March 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Stade Brestois 29.

Line favourite market consensus: Stade Brestois 29. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.56 / X 3.35 / 2 2.11
  • 1X2 market: Metz 26.6% / X 28.3% / Stade Brestois 29 45.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 26.7%
X 28.3%
2 45.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 47.8%
Under 2.5 52.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Market 1 26.7% @ 3.56 / X 28.3% @ 3.35 / 2 45.0% @ 2.11
Match center

Metz - Stade Brestois 29

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.36 market consensus · line only
1 3.58 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.30 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.74 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.99 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.74 26.7%
X 3.47 28.8%
2.12 47.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.45 29.0% 3.65 27.4% 3.72 26.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.54 28.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.16 46.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.01 49.8% 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.07 48.3%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8%
Match center
Metz
L L D L L
21.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
15.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:3 AuxerreAuxerre
06.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:0 LilleLille
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:1 AngersAngers
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:5 LionLion
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.4 Conceded
1 Points
Stade Brestois 29
W D W D L
20.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 MarseilleMarseille
14.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:1 LilleLille
07.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 LorientLorient
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:2 NiceNice
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:2 ToulouseToulouse
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMetz - Stade Brestois 29

Metz
1 matches total
Stade Brestois 29
Metz: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Stade Brestois 29: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Stade Brestois 29 2:3 (23.11 16:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 23.11 16:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz
2:3
Stade Brestois 29