PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
17.08.2025 15:15 UTC Match prediction
17.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Metz - Strasbourg

France Football
Metz
Metz
0 : 1
Finished
Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Metz - Strasbourg August 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite Fonbet: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.55 / X 3.40 / 2 2.17
  • 1X2 market: Metz 27.2% / X 28.4% / Strasbourg 44.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%
1 27.2%
X 28.4%
2 44.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 51.3%
Under 2.5 48.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 17.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Metz - Strasbourg

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.17 Fonbet · line only
X 3.40 Fonbet · line only
1 3.55 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.30 Fonbet · line only
12 1.32 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.11 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.55 28.2%
X 3.53 28.3%
2.16 46.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.54 28.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.54 28.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%
2.12 47.2% 2.11 47.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7% 2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8%
Match center
Metz
D D
29.05 18:30 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:1 Reims
21.05 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:1 Reims
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
Strasbourg
L L W W D
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:3 Le HavreLe Havre
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 AngersAngers
03.05 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
26.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:1 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
19.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:0 MonacoMonaco
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMetz - Strasbourg

Metz
0 matches total
Strasbourg
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history