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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
13.02.2026 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Monaco - Nantes

France Football
Monaco
Monaco
3 : 1
Finished
Nantes
Nantes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Nantes February 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.76 / 2 6.53
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 65.6% / X 19.9% / Nantes 14.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 65.7%
X 19.9%
2 14.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 62.1%
Under 2.5 37.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.02.2026 20:05 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Nantes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.55 market consensus · line only
X 4.77 market consensus · line only
1 1.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.80 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.93 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.49 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.46 68.5%
X 4.90 20.4%
6.79 14.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.50 66.7%
X 4.70 21.3% 4.95 20.2% 4.93 20.3% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.90 20.4%
6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 6.96 14.4% 6.00 16.7% 7.00 14.3% 6.70 14.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 2.18 45.9%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.09 91.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Monaco
D W D L L
08.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:0 NiceNice
31.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 4:0 RennesRennes
24.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:0 Le HavreLe Havre
16.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:3 LorientLorient
03.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:3 LionLion
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Nantes
L L L L W
07.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:1 LionLion
31.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 LorientLorient
25.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:4 NiceNice
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 Paris FCParis FC
04.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:0 MarseilleMarseille
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Nantes

Monaco
1 matches total
Nantes
Monaco: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nantes: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Monaco 5:3 (29.10 20:05 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 8 goals (5:3, 29.10 20:05 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 5

Match history

29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco
5:3
Nantes