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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
22.02.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
22.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nantes - Le Havre

France Football
Nantes
Nantes
2 : 0
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nantes - Le Havre February 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nantes.

Line favourite market consensus: Nantes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.56 / X 3.13 / 2 2.90
  • 1X2 market: Nantes 37.1% / X 30.3% / Le Havre 32.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 37.0%
X 30.3%
2 32.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 42.8%
Under 2.5 57.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Nantes - Le Havre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.91 market consensus · line only
X 3.14 market consensus · line only
1 2.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.92 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.64 37.9%
X 3.22 31.1%
2.95 33.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.58 38.8% 2.56 39.1% 2.67 37.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.05 32.8% 3.27 30.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8%
2.80 35.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.99 33.4% 2.88 34.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.93 51.8%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.45 69.0% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Nantes
L L L L L
13.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:3 MonacoMonaco
07.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:1 LionLion
31.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 LorientLorient
25.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:4 NiceNice
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 Paris FCParis FC
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.4 Conceded
0 Points
Le Havre
W W L D D
15.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 ToulouseToulouse
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
30.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 LensLens
24.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 MonacoMonaco
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:1 RennesRennes
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNantes - Le Havre

Nantes
1 matches total
Le Havre
Nantes: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Le Havre: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 08.11 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (08.11 18:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

08.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes
1:1
Le Havre