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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
19.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nantes - Lille

France Football
Nantes
Nantes
0 : 2
Finished
Lille
Lille

Nantes go head-to-head with Lille on October 19, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Nantes 1-3-1, Lille 2-1-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Lille, an implied 55% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nantes - Lille October 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.86 / X 3.72 / 2 1.73
  • 1X2 market: Nantes 19.6% / X 25.5% / Lille 54.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 19.5%
X 25.5%
2 54.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 51.0%
Under 2.5 49.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Market 1 19.5% @ 4.86 / X 25.5% @ 3.72 / 2 54.9% @ 1.73
Match center

Nantes - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.73 market consensus · line only
X 3.73 market consensus · line only
1 4.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.21 19.2%
X 3.86 25.9%
1.72 58.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.85 20.6% 5.00 20.0% 4.95 20.2% 4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%
1.70 58.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.14 46.7%
Match center
Nantes
D D D L W
04.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
27.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:2 ToulouseToulouse
20.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:2 RennesRennes
13.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:1 NiceNice
30.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:0 AuxerreAuxerre
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Lille
D L L W W
05.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:1 LionLion
20.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:3 LensLens
14.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:1 ToulouseToulouse
30.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 7:1 LorientLorient
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNantes - Lille

Nantes
0 matches total
Lille
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history