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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
29.10.2025 20:05 UTC Match prediction
29.10.2025 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nantes - Monaco

France Football
Nantes
Nantes
3 : 5
Finished
Monaco
Monaco

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nantes - Monaco October 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.70 / X 3.99 / 2 1.70
  • 1X2 market: Nantes 20.2% / X 23.9% / Monaco 55.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 20.2%
X 23.8%
2 55.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 55.7%
Under 2.5 44.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.10.2025 20:05 UTC
Match center

Nantes - Monaco

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.70 market consensus · line only
X 3.99 market consensus · line only
1 4.71 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.21 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.13 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.89 20.5%
X 4.11 24.3%
1.72 58.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.65 21.5% 4.65 21.5% 4.63 21.6% 4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.85 20.6%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7% 4.11 24.3% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0%
1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.08 48.1% 2.19 45.7%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.74 57.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.24 44.6%
Match center
Nantes
W L D D D
24.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:1 Paris FCParis FC
19.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:2 LilleLille
04.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
27.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:2 ToulouseToulouse
20.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:2 RennesRennes
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Monaco
W D D L W
25.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
18.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:1 AngersAngers
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:2 NiceNice
27.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:3 LorientLorient
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 5:2 MetzMetz
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNantes - Monaco

Nantes
0 matches total
Monaco
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history