PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
18.01.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
18.01.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nantes - Paris FC

France Football
Nantes
Nantes
1 : 2
Finished
Paris FC
Paris FC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nantes - Paris FC January 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nantes.

Line favourite market consensus: Nantes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.66 / X 3.18 / 2 2.78
  • 1X2 market: Nantes 35.8% / X 29.9% / Paris FC 34.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 35.8%
X 29.9%
2 34.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 47.1%
Under 2.5 52.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 18.01.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Nantes - Paris FC

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 2.66 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.45 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.62 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.62 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.68 37.3%
X 3.25 30.8%
2.88 34.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.60 38.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.72 36.8% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.27 30.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.78 36.0% 2.65 37.7% 2.92 34.3% 2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.93 51.8% 2.08 48.1% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6%
Match center
Nantes
W L L L D
04.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:0 MarseilleMarseille
12.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:4 AngersAngers
06.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:2 LensLens
30.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:3 LionLion
23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 1:1 LorientLorient
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Paris FC
L L D D L
04.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
13.12 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:3 ToulouseToulouse
07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:0 Le HavreLe Havre
29.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:1 AuxerreAuxerre
23.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:4 LilleLille
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNantes - Paris FC

Nantes
1 matches total
Paris FC
Nantes: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Paris FC: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Nantes 2:1 (24.10 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 24.10 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

24.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes
2:1
Paris FC