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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
27.10.2024 15:00 UTC Match prediction
27.10.2024 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nice - Monaco

France Football
Nice
Nice
2 : 1
Finished
Monaco
Monaco

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Monaco October 27, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.06 / X 3.75 / 2 1.93
  • 1X2 market: Nice 23.9% / X 25.9% / Monaco 50.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 23.9%
X 25.9%
2 50.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 53.7%
Under 2.5 46.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.10.2024 15:00 UTC
Match center

Nice - Monaco

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.93 market consensus · line only
X 3.75 market consensus · line only
1 4.06 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.96 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.06 24.6%
X 3.75 26.7%
1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.27 78.7%
home_away 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.96 51.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.81 55.3%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.00 33.3%
1.43 69.9%
Match center
Nice
D D D W L
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 NantesNantes
06.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
28.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:0 LensLens
20.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 8:0 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
14.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:2 MarseilleMarseille
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Monaco
D W W W W
18.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:0 LilleLille
05.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:1 RennesRennes
28.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:1 Montpellier
22.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:1 Le HavreLe Havre
14.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 3:0 AuxerreAuxerre
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Monaco

Nice
0 matches total
Monaco
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history