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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
08.02.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
08.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nice - Monaco

France Football
Nice
Nice
0 : 0
Finished
Monaco
Monaco

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Monaco February 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.20 / X 3.80 / 2 2.09
  • 1X2 market: Nice 29.6% / X 25.0% / Monaco 45.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 29.6%
X 25.0%
2 45.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 63.2%
Under 2.5 36.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Nice - Monaco

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.09 market consensus · line only
X 3.81 market consensus · line only
1 3.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.35 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.73 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.91 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.56 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.66 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.30 30.3%
X 3.91 25.6%
2.13 47.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.05 32.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0% 3.92 25.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3%
2.08 48.1% 2.09 47.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.65 37.7% 2.78 36.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.58 38.8% 2.84 35.2%
yes 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9%
Match center
Nice
D W L D L
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
25.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 4:1 NantesNantes
17.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:5 ToulouseToulouse
03.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:2 LensLens
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
5 Points
Monaco
W D L L L
31.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 4:0 RennesRennes
24.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:0 Le HavreLe Havre
16.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:3 LorientLorient
03.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:3 LionLion
14.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:1 MarseilleMarseille
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Monaco

Nice
2 matches total
Monaco
Nice: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Monaco: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Nice 2:1 (27.10 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 05.10 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (05.10 15:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 4

Match history

05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice
2:2
Monaco
27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice
2:1
Monaco