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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nice - Paris FC

France Football
Nice
Nice
1 : 1
Finished
Paris FC
Paris FC

Nice take on Paris FC on September 28, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Nice 2-0-3, Paris FC 2-0-3. The market favourite is Nice at roughly 51%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Paris FC September 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.

Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.81 / 2 3.93
  • 1X2 market: Nice 50.7% / X 25.0% / Paris FC 24.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3% 14 books · best price +2.9%
1 50.9%
X 25.1%
2 24.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 57.2%
Under 2.5 42.8%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Market 1 50.7% @ 1.88 / X 25.0% @ 3.81 / 2 24.3% @ 3.93
Match center

Nice - Paris FC

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.94 market consensus · line only
X 3.81 market consensus · line only
1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.94 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.28 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.91 52.4%
X 3.84 26.0%
4.08 24.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 4.01 24.9% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6%
3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 4.14 24.2% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.29 43.7% 2.28 43.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.42 41.3%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7%
Match center
Nice
L W L W L
20.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:4 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
13.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:0 NantesNantes
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:3 Le HavreLe Havre
23.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
16.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 ToulouseToulouse
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Paris FC
L W W L L
21.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 3:2 MetzMetz
23.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:5 MarseilleMarseille
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:1 AngersAngers
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Paris FC

Nice
0 matches total
Paris FC
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history