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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
08.03.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
08.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Nice - Rennes

France Football
Nice
Nice
0 : 4
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nice - Rennes March 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.64 / X 3.47 / 2 2.59
  • 1X2 market: Nice 36.0% / X 27.4% / Rennes 36.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 36.0%
X 27.4%
2 36.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 56.6%
Under 2.5 43.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Nice - Rennes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.60 market consensus · line only
X 3.47 market consensus · line only
1 2.64 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.39 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.71 36.9%
X 3.53 28.3%
2.66 37.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.56 39.1% 2.61 38.3% 2.76 36.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%
2.56 39.1% 2.57 38.9% 2.69 37.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.62 38.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.45 40.8% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.37 42.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.34 42.7% 2.50 40.0%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.51 66.2% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Nice
L D L D D
01.03 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 Paris FCParis FC
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 3:3 LorientLorient
15.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:2 LionLion
08.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:0 MonacoMonaco
01.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Rennes
W W W L L
28.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
22.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:0 AuxerreAuxerre
13.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
07.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:3 LensLens
31.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:4 MonacoMonaco
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNice - Rennes

Nice
2 matches total
Rennes
Nice: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rennes: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Rennes 0:2 (10.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 26.10 16:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice
2:1
Rennes
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice
0:2
Rennes