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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
29.11.2025 18:00 UTC Match prediction
29.11.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris FC - Auxerre

France Football
Paris FC
Paris FC
1 : 1
Finished
Auxerre
Auxerre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris FC - Auxerre November 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / X 3.52 / 2 4.10
  • 1X2 market: Paris FC 49.8% / X 27.0% / Auxerre 23.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 49.8%
X 27.0%
2 23.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 48.3%
Under 2.5 51.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.11.2025 18:00 UTC
Match center

Paris FC - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.10 market consensus · line only
X 3.53 market consensus · line only
1 1.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.91 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.92 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.96 51.0%
X 3.58 27.9%
4.16 24.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6%
4.10 24.4% 3.90 25.6% 4.40 22.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.05 24.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.97 50.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.99 50.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Paris FC
L L W D L
23.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:4 LilleLille
07.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:1 RennesRennes
01.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:0 MonacoMonaco
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 3:3 LionLion
24.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:2 NantesNantes
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Auxerre
D L L L L
23.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:0 LionLion
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:2 AngersAngers
01.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:1 MarseilleMarseille
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:1 Le HavreLe Havre
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis FC - Auxerre

Paris FC
0 matches total
Auxerre
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history