Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
22.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris FC - Le Havre

France Football
Paris FC
Paris FC
3 : 2
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris FC - Le Havre March 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 3.09 / 2 3.75
  • 1X2 market: Paris FC 44.0% / X 30.7% / Le Havre 25.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 44.0%
X 30.7%
2 25.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 43.2%
Under 2.5 56.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 22.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Market 1 44.0% @ 2.16 / X 30.7% @ 3.09 / 2 25.3% @ 3.75
Match center

Paris FC - Le Havre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.79 market consensus · line only
X 3.07 market consensus · line only
1 2.16 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.69 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.03 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.14 46.7%
X 2.89 34.6%
4.42 22.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.15 46.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.24 44.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9%
X 2.98 33.6% 3.15 31.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%
3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.96 25.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Paris FC
D D W D L
15.03 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:0 StrasbourgStrasbourg
08.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:1 LionLion
01.03 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:0 NiceNice
21.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:1 ToulouseToulouse
14.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:5 LensLens
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Le Havre
D L L L W
15.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 LionLion
08.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
28.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:2 NantesNantes
15.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 ToulouseToulouse
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis FC - Le Havre

Paris FC
1 matches total
Le Havre
Paris FC: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Le Havre: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (07.12 16:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC
0:0
Le Havre