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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
14.02.2026 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris FC - Lens

France Football
Paris FC
Paris FC
0 : 5
Finished
Lens
Lens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris FC - Lens February 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.92 / X 3.55 / 2 1.93
  • 1X2 market: Paris FC 24.2% / X 26.7% / Lens 49.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 24.2%
X 26.7%
2 49.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 51.3%
Under 2.5 48.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.02.2026 20:05 UTC
Match center

Paris FC - Lens

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.94 market consensus · line only
X 3.56 market consensus · line only
1 3.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.87 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.74 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.97 25.2%
X 3.63 27.6%
1.99 50.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.85 26.0% 3.95 25.3% 4.21 23.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.69 27.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4%
1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.16 46.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.24 44.6%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.82 55.0% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6%
Match center
Paris FC
D D D W L
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:0 AuxerreAuxerre
31.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:2 MarseilleMarseille
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:0 AngersAngers
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:1 NantesNantes
04.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Lens
W W L W W
07.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:1 RennesRennes
30.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
24.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:3 MarseilleMarseille
17.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:0 AuxerreAuxerre
02.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:0 ToulouseToulouse
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis FC - Lens

Paris FC
1 matches total
Lens
Paris FC: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lens: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lens 1:2 (19.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 19.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

19.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC
1:2
Lens