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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
29.10.2025 20:05 UTC Match prediction
29.10.2025 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris FC - Lyon

France Football
Paris FC
Paris FC
3 : 3
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris FC - Lyon October 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.70 / X 3.44 / 2 2.53
  • 1X2 market: Paris FC 35.1% / X 27.5% / Lyon 37.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 35.1%
X 27.5%
2 37.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 54.7%
Under 2.5 45.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.10.2025 20:05 UTC
Match center

Paris FC - Lyon

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.53 market consensus · line only
X 3.45 market consensus · line only
1 2.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.52 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.29 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.77 36.1%
X 3.51 28.5%
2.62 38.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.68 37.3% 2.73 36.6% 2.74 36.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.55 28.2% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0%
2.52 39.7% 2.46 40.7% 2.59 38.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.57 38.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.33 42.9% 2.24 44.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.46 40.7%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5%
Match center
Paris FC
L L W D L
24.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:2 NantesNantes
19.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:2 LensLens
03.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:0 LorientLorient
28.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:1 NiceNice
21.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Lyon
W L L W W
26.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
18.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:3 NiceNice
05.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:2 ToulouseToulouse
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 LilleLille
19.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 AngersAngers
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis FC - Lyon

Paris FC
0 matches total
Lyon
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history