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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
31.01.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
31.01.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris FC - Marseille

France Football
Paris FC
Paris FC
2 : 2
Finished
Marseille
Marseille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris FC - Marseille January 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.12 / X 3.84 / 2 1.83
  • 1X2 market: Paris FC 23.1% / X 24.8% / Marseille 52.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 23.1%
X 24.8%
2 52.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 55.8%
Under 2.5 44.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.01.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Paris FC - Marseille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.83 market consensus · line only
X 3.84 market consensus · line only
1 4.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.99 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.46 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.19 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.20 23.8%
X 3.97 25.2%
1.84 54.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.27 23.4% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.25 23.5%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%
1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.24 44.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.16 46.3% 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.02 49.5%
Match center
Paris FC
D W L L D
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:0 AngersAngers
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:1 NantesNantes
04.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
13.12 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:3 ToulouseToulouse
07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:0 Le HavreLe Havre
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Marseille
W W L W L
24.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:1 LensLens
17.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 5:2 AngersAngers
04.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:2 NantesNantes
14.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 1:0 MonacoMonaco
05.12 20:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 0:1 LilleLille
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis FC - Marseille

Paris FC
1 matches total
Marseille
Paris FC: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Marseille: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Marseille 2:5 (23.08 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (2:5, 23.08 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 2

Match history

23.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC
2:5
Marseille