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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
24.10.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
24.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris FC - Nantes

France Football
Paris FC
Paris FC
1 : 2
Finished
Nantes
Nantes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris FC - Nantes October 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 4.06 / 2 5.18
  • 1X2 market: Paris FC 58.0% / X 23.5% / Nantes 18.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 58.0%
X 23.6%
2 18.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 54.3%
Under 2.5 45.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Paris FC - Nantes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.19 market consensus · line only
X 4.07 market consensus · line only
1 1.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.29 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.93 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.65 60.6%
X 4.16 24.0%
5.39 18.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.15 24.1% 4.23 23.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.10 24.4%
5.25 19.1% 5.20 19.2% 5.40 18.5% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.20 19.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 1.98 50.5% 2.11 47.4%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.30 43.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.33 42.9%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Paris FC
L W D L W
19.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:2 LensLens
03.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:0 LorientLorient
28.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:1 NiceNice
21.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:3 StrasbourgStrasbourg
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Nantes
L D D D L
19.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:2 LilleLille
04.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
27.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:2 ToulouseToulouse
20.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 2:2 RennesRennes
13.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nantes 0:1 NiceNice
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis FC - Nantes

Paris FC
0 matches total
Nantes
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history