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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
13.12.2025 20:05 UTC Match prediction
13.12.2025 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris FC - Toulouse

France Football
Paris FC
Paris FC
0 : 3
Finished
Toulouse
Toulouse

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris FC - Toulouse December 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.69 / X 3.15 / 2 2.72
  • 1X2 market: Paris FC 35.2% / X 30.1% / Toulouse 34.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 35.2%
X 30.0%
2 34.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 44.6%
Under 2.5 55.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.12.2025 20:05 UTC
Match center

Paris FC - Toulouse

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.73 market consensus · line only
X 3.15 market consensus · line only
1 2.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.47 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.66 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.78 36.0%
X 3.19 31.4%
2.83 35.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.70 37.0% 2.77 36.1% 2.76 36.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.27 30.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.65 37.7% 2.66 37.6% 2.76 36.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0% 2.77 36.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.93 51.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.89 52.9% 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Paris FC
D D L L W
07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:0 Le HavreLe Havre
29.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:1 AuxerreAuxerre
23.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 2:4 LilleLille
07.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:1 RennesRennes
01.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:0 MonacoMonaco
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Toulouse
W D L D D
06.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:0 StrasbourgStrasbourg
29.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:2 MarseilleMarseille
23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:1 AngersAngers
09.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:1 LorientLorient
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:0 Le HavreLe Havre
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis FC - Toulouse

Paris FC
0 matches total
Toulouse
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history