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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
17.05.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
17.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Paris Saint Germain - Auxerre

France Football
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1
Finished
Auxerre
Auxerre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Auxerre May 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.14 / X 9.91 / 2 18.91
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 85.1% / X 9.8% / Auxerre 5.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 85.1%
X 9.8%
2 5.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 9.91 market consensus · line only
1 1.14 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 6.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.08 market consensus · line only
1X 1.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.14 87.7%
X 9.91 10.1%
18.91 5.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 6.62 15.1%
home_away 1.08 92.6%
home_draw 1.03 97.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 3.5 2.38 42.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.04 96.2%
16.50 6.1%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W L L D W
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 4:1 Montpellier
03.05 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
25.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:3 NiceNice
22.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 NantesNantes
19.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2:1 Le HavreLe Havre
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Auxerre
D L W L L
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:1 NantesNantes
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:2 Le HavreLe Havre
27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 4:0 LensLens
20.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 LilleLille
13.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 LionLion
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points