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Start
27.09.2025 19:05 UTC
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27.09.2025 19:05 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain - Auxerre
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Auxerre September 27, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.18 / X 7.83 / 2 14.55
- 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 81.2% / X 12.2% / Auxerre 6.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 69.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.4%
1
81.2%
X
12.2%
2
6.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5
69.1%
Under 2.5
30.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Paris Saint Germain - Auxerre
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
7.87
market consensus · line only
1
1.18
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
5.07
market consensus · line only
12
1.09
market consensus · line only
1X
1.03
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
4.95
market consensus · line only
2 -1
4.10
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.17
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.21
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.37
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.07
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.79
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.96
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.18 84.8% | |
| X | 8.40 11.9% |
| 14.58 6.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.20 83.3% | |
| X | 7.40 13.5% | 7.60 13.2% | 8.45 11.8% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.80 12.8% |
| 14.00 7.1% | 13.50 7.4% | 16.00 6.3% | 15.00 6.7% | 15.00 6.7% | 16.00 6.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.84 54.4% |
| yes | 1.91 52.4% | 2.04 49.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.02 49.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 4.75 21.1% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.30 18.9% |
| home_away | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% |
| home_draw | 1.03 97.1% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.03 97.1% |
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
L
W
W
W
W
22.09 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
0:1
Marseille
Marseille
14.09 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
2:0
Lens
Lens
30.08 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
6:3
Toulouse
Toulouse
22.08 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:0
Angers
Angers
17.08 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:0
Nantes
Nantes
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.8
Conceded
12
Points
Auxerre
W
L
L
L
W
21.09 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:0
Toulouse
Toulouse
13.09 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:2
Monaco
Monaco
30.08 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
0:1
Nantes
Nantes
23.08 17:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:3
Nice
Nice
17.08 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Auxerre
1:0
Lorient
Lorient
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
1
matches total
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Auxerre: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 (17.05 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (3:1, 17.05 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:1
Auxerre
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