Match center
Start
08.02.2026 19:45 UTC
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08.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain - Marseille
5
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Marseille February 8, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.86 / 2 5.81
- 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 64.2% / X 19.5% / Marseille 16.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 65.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
64.1%
X
19.5%
2
16.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5
65.8%
Under 2.5
34.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Paris Saint Germain - Marseille
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.82
market consensus · line only
X
4.88
market consensus · line only
1
1.48
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.66
market consensus · line only
12
1.18
market consensus · line only
1X
1.14
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.65
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.11
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
5.30
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.49
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.43
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.75
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.32
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.56
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.49 67.1% | |
| X | 5.04 19.8% |
| 5.99 16.7% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.47 68.0% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.55 64.5% | |
| X | 4.75 21.1% | 4.90 20.4% | 5.08 19.7% | 4.60 21.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.90 20.4% |
| 5.70 17.5% | 5.60 17.9% | 6.30 15.9% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.70 17.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.42 41.3% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.61 62.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.60 38.5% | 2.74 36.5% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.57 38.9% | 2.60 38.5% |
| home_away | 1.13 88.5% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_draw | 1.13 88.5% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.11 90.1% |
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W
W
W
W
W
01.02 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
2:1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
23.01 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
1:0
Auxerre
Auxerre
16.01 20:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:0
Lille
Lille
04.01 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
2:1
Paris FC
Paris FC
13.12 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:2
Metz
Metz
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
15
Points
Marseille
D
W
W
L
W
31.01 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
2:2
Paris FC
Paris FC
24.01 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
3:1
Lens
Lens
17.01 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
5:2
Angers
Angers
04.01 14:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:2
Nantes
Nantes
14.12 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
1:0
Monaco
Monaco
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.4
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
2
matches total
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Marseille: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 (27.10 19:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (3:0, 27.10 19:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
22.09 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
0:1
Marseille
27.10 19:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
3:0
Marseille
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