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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
06.04.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Auxerre

France Football
Rennes
Rennes
0 : 1
Finished
Auxerre
Auxerre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Auxerre April 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / X 3.80 / 2 4.49
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 52.8% / X 25.6% / Auxerre 21.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 52.8%
X 25.6%
2 21.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 54.1%
Under 2.5 45.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.04.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Rennes - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.49 market consensus · line only
X 3.80 market consensus · line only
1 1.84 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.84 54.4%
X 3.80 26.3%
4.49 22.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.06 48.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.24 80.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.79 55.9%
Under 2.5 2.11 47.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.36 73.5%
3.32 30.1%
Match center
Rennes
W D L L D
25.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
19.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
05.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:2 MonacoMonaco
27.09 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
21.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:1 LensLens
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Auxerre
D W L W L
27.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:2 LionLion
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:1 Reims
05.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:3 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
27.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 2:3 Montpellier
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Auxerre

Rennes
0 matches total
Auxerre
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history