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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
19.10.2025 15:15 UTC Match prediction
19.10.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Auxerre

France Football
Rennes
Rennes
2 : 2
Finished
Auxerre
Auxerre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Auxerre October 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.79 / X 3.76 / 2 4.42
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 53.1% / X 25.3% / Auxerre 21.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 53.2%
X 25.3%
2 21.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 53.8%
Under 2.5 46.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Rennes - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.43 market consensus · line only
X 3.76 market consensus · line only
1 1.79 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.04 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.28 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.85 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.11 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.82 55.0%
X 3.82 26.2%
4.57 21.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3%
4.35 23.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.64 21.6% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.65 21.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.04 49.0% 2.18 45.9%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3%
Match center
Rennes
D D D W D
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 Le HavreLe Havre
28.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:0 LensLens
20.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 NantesNantes
14.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:1 LionLion
31.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:1 AngersAngers
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Auxerre
L L W L L
04.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:2 LensLens
27.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
13.09 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 1:2 MonacoMonaco
30.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:1 NantesNantes
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Auxerre

Rennes
1 matches total
Auxerre
Rennes: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Auxerre: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Auxerre 0:1 (06.04 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 06.04 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes
0:1
Auxerre