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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
18.01.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Le Havre

France Football
Rennes
Rennes
1 : 1
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Le Havre January 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 4.17 / 2 5.16
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 58.7% / X 22.8% / Le Havre 18.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 58.7%
X 22.8%
2 18.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.01.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Rennes - Le Havre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.17 market consensus · line only
X 4.18 market consensus · line only
1 1.62 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.30 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 10.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.14 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.63 61.4%
X 4.33 23.1%
5.28 18.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.61 62.1% 1.63 61.4% 1.66 60.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.10 24.4% 4.36 22.9% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8% 4.25 23.5%
5.10 19.6% 5.10 19.6% 5.48 18.3% 4.80 20.8% 5.25 19.1% 5.20 19.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.40 41.7%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Rennes
W W L W W
03.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:0 LilleLille
13.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
06.12 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:5 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
28.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 MetzMetz
22.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 4:1 MonacoMonaco
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Le Havre
W L D L L
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:1 AngersAngers
14.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 LionLion
07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 Paris FCParis FC
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:1 LilleLille
22.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Le Havre

Rennes
3 matches total
Le Havre
Rennes: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Le Havre: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Rennes 5:1 (13.04 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (5:1, 13.04 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (05.10 15:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

8 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 8

Match history

05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes
2:2
Le Havre
13.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes
5:1
Le Havre
25.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes
1:0
Le Havre