Participant opinions
110 predictions
Choose an outcome
AI verdict
AI pick Rennais
win probability ~66%
confidence High
best odds 1.20
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Rennais. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Go deeper than the free pick
Your free pick and probability are below. Full Access adds the full 7-AI consensus, every value-edge pick, math-model probabilities and complete reports for every match.
30.08.2026 15:15 UTC
Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready
Prematch data
✓Line
✓Form
–H2H
✓Prediction
30.08.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Rennais vs Le Mans — Football prediction
2
:
2
Finished
Rennes go head-to-head with Le Mans in football, in Ligue 1, on 30 August 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to Rennes: roughly 66% to win. The bookmaker consensus (6 books) implies about 67% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 20%.
Latest form: Rennes 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost; Le Mans 0 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost. On the Glicko scale it is 1640 for Rennes against 1375 for Le Mans - a gap of 265 points.
Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. That is a 1-point gap to the market. For reliability the safer lean is a protected market on Rennes (double chance, say) rather than the outright win alone. Key markers: an edge of 265 Glicko rating points, the model's 66% for Rennes. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Rennais — 66%
Model estimate: win Rennais 66.4%, draw 19.4%, win Le Mans 14.2%. Model favourite — Rennais.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 Safe pick
banker
Double chance — Rennais or draw 1.03
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Rennais (odds1.42)
Score 2:0
Under 3
(odds1.85) ✓
Handicap H1 -1.5
(odds2.13) ✓
confidence 61%
✗ outcome missed
- • liniya na pik P1 1.50→1.43 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
- • Model backs Rennes: probability 61% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
- • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:0
- • Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~2 goals
- • at line 3 (odds 1.85)
- • Handicap F1 -1.5: score forecast 2:0 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 2.13).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rennais - Le Mans August 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennais.
Line favourite Fonbet: Rennais. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / X 4.50 / 2 7.00
- Glicko: Rennais 66.4% / X 19.4% / Le Mans 14.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.1%
5 books · best price +1.4%
1 ✓ Pick
66.8%
X
19.5%
2
13.7%
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Model O/U (market-implied)
Total 3.0
2 books
Over 3.0
49.7%
Under 3.0
50.3%
Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
1.50
↓ 1.38
1X2 X
4.60
↑ 5.10
1X2 2
6.30
↑ 8.00
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Rennais
67%
1.43
Draw
19%
5.00
Le Mans
14%
80.00
Total
Over 3
51%
1.83
Under 3
49%
2.80
Both teams to score
Yes
48%
2.70
No
52%
2.18
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Rennais
2
:
2
Le Mans
11.46
X5.08
27.41
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Unlock the full AI analysis
Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.
Match center
Start
30.08.2026 15:15 UTC
Market
1 69.5% @ 1.20 / X 18.5% @ 4.50 / 2 11.9% @ 7.00
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community
Rennais 94%
📐 Math model
Rennais 66%
💹 Market
Rennais 67%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance
Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.
Match center
Rennais - Le Mans
{"status":"error","data":null,"message":"Nedostatochno dannykh dlya rascheta statistiki (menee 5 matchey)","traceId":"00-bc0ef3ec2e7949927252d1f304c11a86-ac001a70061460e8-00"}
Form
5/5
recent games
Market
3
model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:2
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 66.4% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.110 / LogLoss 1.640
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 66.4% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.110 / LogLoss 1.640
Glicko-2: public filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 66.4% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.110 / LogLoss 1.640
Glicko-2: precision filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 66.4% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.110 / LogLoss 1.640
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Rennais
67.0%
66.4%
market and model agree
Draw
19.3%
19.4%
draw risk
Le Mans
13.7%
14.2%
1X2: 6 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
66.4% / 19.4% / 14.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,640 / 1,375
Rennes / Le Mans
RD
105 / 224
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,429-1,851 / 927-1,823
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.78
market consensus · no value · model 14.2%
X
4.50
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.20
Fonbet · no value · model 66.4%
Double chance
12
1.19
Fonbet · no value · model 80.6%
1X
1.03
Fonbet · no value · model 85.8%
X2
4.20
Fonbet · no value · model 33.6%
Handicap
2 -1
1.16
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.20
market consensus · line only
2 0
6.70
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
4.40
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
8.00
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.18
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.68
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match marketsBoth teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.18 45.9% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.02 49.5% |
| yes | 1.68 59.5% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.70 37.0% | 1.71 58.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 2.85 35.1% | 2.90 34.5% | 4.20 23.8% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.80 35.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.89 52.9% | |
| X | 2.57 38.9% |
| 6.20 16.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 1-0-0, avg 5.0 gls
2026-08-30 · Renn 3:2 Le-Man
Source: ruscore
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 1.49 (Betcity) · X 4.8 (Winline) · 2 6.7 (Pari)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.45 | 4.7 | 6.7 |
| Winline | 1.47 | 4.8 | 6.4 |
| Fonbet | 1.45 | 4.7 | 6.7 |
| Betcity | 1.49 | 4.7 | 6.1 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.44 | 4.8 | 6.4 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Match stats
64%
Ball possession
36%
18
Vsego udarov
9
8
Shots on target
5
8
Shots off target
1
6
Udary ot vorot
12
2
Blokirovannye udary
3
15
Shtrafnye
13
8
Corners
6
2
Offsides
3
13
Auty
17
3
Saves
5
14
Fouls
13
3
Cards total
3
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
1
0
Second yellows
0
1
Travmy
0
5
Substitutions
5
Source: ruscore
Rennais
D
L
L
D
W
Rennais
Rennais 2:2 PSG
Rennais
Sunderland 2:1 Rennais
Rennais
Rennais 2:4 Brentford
Rennais
Galatasaray 3:3 Rennais
Rennais
Rennais 2:1 Brugge
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
2.4
Conceded
5
Points
Le Mans
D
L
D
D
W
Le Mans 2:2 Stade Brestois 29
Le Mans
Le Mans 0:1 Le Havre
Le Mans
Le Mans 1:1 UNFP
Le Mans
Saumur 0:0 Le Mans
Le Mans
Angers 2:3 Le Mans
Le Mans
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.2
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head history: Rennais - Le Mans
Rennais
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Rennais - Le Mans breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rennais vs Le Mans?
By the PropickAI model, Rennais is favoured — about 66% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Rennais vs Le Mans?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Rennais. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
What are the bookmaker odds for Rennais vs Le Mans?
Live odds for Rennais vs Le Mans from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
When does Rennais vs Le Mans start?
August 30, 2026.