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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
24.01.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Lorient

France Football
Rennes
Rennes
0 : 2
Finished
Lorient
Lorient

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Lorient January 24, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.82 / 2 4.46
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 53.7% / X 24.9% / Lorient 21.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 53.8%
X 24.9%
2 21.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 55.2%
Under 2.5 44.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.01.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Rennes - Lorient

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.47 market consensus · line only
X 3.82 market consensus · line only
1 1.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.20 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.12 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.79 55.9%
X 3.86 25.9%
4.62 21.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.98 25.1% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3% 4.62 21.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.70 21.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.07 48.3% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.11 47.4%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.24 80.7%
Match center
Rennes
D W W L W
18.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:1 Le HavreLe Havre
03.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:0 LilleLille
13.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
06.12 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:5 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
28.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 MetzMetz
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Lorient
W D D W W
16.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:1 MonacoMonaco
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:1 MetzMetz
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:0 StrasbourgStrasbourg
07.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:0 LionLion
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:1 NiceNice
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Lorient

Rennes
1 matches total
Lorient
Rennes: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lorient: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lorient 0:4 (24.08 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 24.08 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 0

Match history

24.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes
0:4
Lorient