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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
14.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Lyon

France Football
Rennes
Rennes
3 : 1
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Rennes meet Lyon on September 14, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rennes 2-1-1, Lyon 4-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Rennes at roughly 39%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Lyon September 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.43 / X 3.50 / 2 2.83
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 39.2% / X 27.2% / Lyon 33.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3% 15 books · best price +11.6%
1 39.4%
X 27.2%
2 33.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 56.8%
Under 2.5 43.2%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Market 1 39.2% @ 2.43 / X 27.2% @ 3.50 / 2 33.6% @ 2.83
Match center

Rennes - Lyon

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.84 market consensus · line only
X 3.51 market consensus · line only
1 2.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.81 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.78 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.40 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.44 41.0%
X 3.61 27.7%
2.94 34.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3% 2.48 40.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.62 27.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
2.82 35.5% 2.76 36.2% 2.97 33.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 2.40 41.7% 2.47 40.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.26 44.3% 2.36 42.4%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.64 61.0% 1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.46 68.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Rennes
D L W W
31.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:1 AngersAngers
24.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:4 LorientLorient
15.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 MarseilleMarseille
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:0 NiceNice
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Lyon
W W W W L
31.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 MarseilleMarseille
23.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 3:0 MetzMetz
16.08 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 LensLens
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:0 AngersAngers
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 0:2 MonacoMonaco
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Lyon

Rennes
1 matches total
Lyon
Rennes: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lyon: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lion 1:4 (26.04 19:05 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 26.04 19:05 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 1

Match history

26.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes
1:4
Lion