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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
22.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Metz

France Football
Rennes
Rennes
0 : 0
Finished
Metz
Metz

Rennes go head-to-head with Metz on March 22, 2026 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rennes 4-0-1, Metz 0-0-5. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Rennes the favourite at about 72%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Metz March 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.48 / 2 9.07
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 72.2% / X 17.3% / Metz 10.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 72.3%
X 17.3%
2 10.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.9%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Under 2.5 38.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.03.2026 16:15 UTC
Market 1 72.3% @ 1.31 / X 17.3% @ 5.48 / 2 10.4% @ 9.07
Match center

Rennes - Metz

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.02 market consensus · line only
X 5.46 market consensus · line only
1 1.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.69 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.36 73.5%
X 5.24 19.1%
8.26 12.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5%
X 5.25 19.1% 5.50 18.2% 5.74 17.4% 5.00 20.0% 5.75 17.4% 5.50 18.2%
8.10 12.4% 8.40 11.9% 9.85 10.2% 8.50 11.8% 9.00 11.1% 9.25 10.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.30 30.3% 3.48 28.7% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.50 28.6%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Rennes
L W W W W
15.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:2 LilleLille
08.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 4:0 NiceNice
28.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
22.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:0 AuxerreAuxerre
13.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Metz
L L L L L
15.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 3:4 ToulouseToulouse
08.03 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:3 LensLens
01.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
21.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
15.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:3 AuxerreAuxerre
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.8 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Metz

Rennes
1 matches total
Metz
Rennes: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Metz: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Rennes 1:0 (28.11 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 28.11 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

28.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes
1:0
Metz