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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
26.10.2025 16:15 UTC Match prediction
26.10.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Nice

France Football
Rennes
Rennes
1 : 2
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Nice October 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.11 / X 3.55 / 2 3.40
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 45.2% / X 26.8% / Nice 28.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 45.1%
X 26.8%
2 28.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 56.1%
Under 2.5 43.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2025 16:15 UTC
Match center

Rennes - Nice

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.41 market consensus · line only
X 3.55 market consensus · line only
1 2.11 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.75 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.38 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.78 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.32 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.12 47.2%
X 3.62 27.6%
3.56 28.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.65 27.4% 3.72 26.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0%
3.45 29.0% 3.35 29.9% 3.49 28.7% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.28 43.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.37 42.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.53 39.5%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.77 56.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Rennes
D D D D W
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 AuxerreAuxerre
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 Le HavreLe Havre
28.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:0 LensLens
20.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 NantesNantes
14.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 3:1 LionLion
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Nice
W D D L W
18.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 3:2 LionLion
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:2 MonacoMonaco
28.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 Paris FCParis FC
20.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:4 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
13.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:0 NantesNantes
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Nice

Rennes
1 matches total
Nice
Rennes: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nice: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Rennes 2:0 (10.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 10.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes
2:0
Nice