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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
17.08.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
17.08.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Stade Brestois 29 - Lille

France Football
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
3 : 3
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Lille August 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Stade Brestois 29.

Line favourite Fonbet: Stade Brestois 29. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.75 / X 3.15 / 2 2.85
  • 1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 35.2% / X 30.8% / Lille 34.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 35.2%
X 30.8%
2 34.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 45.7%
Under 2.5 54.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.08.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.85 Fonbet · line only
X 3.15 Fonbet · line only
1 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.45 Fonbet · line only
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.71 36.9%
X 3.24 30.9%
2.86 35.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.64 37.9% 3.15 31.8% 2.72 36.8% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.46 28.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
2.74 36.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.78 36.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.93 51.8% 2.08 48.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Stade Brestois 29
L W W L L
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:6 NiceNice
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 LilleLille
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:0 Montpellier
27.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:4 MarseilleMarseille
20.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:3 LensLens
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.6 Conceded
6 Points
Lille
W L D W W
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:1 Reims
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
04.05 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:1 MarseilleMarseille
27.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:0 AngersAngers
20.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade Brestois 29 - Lille

Stade Brestois 29
1 matches total
Lille
Stade Brestois 29: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lille: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Stade Brestois 29 2:0 (10.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 10.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29
2:0
Lille