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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
02.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Stade Brestois 29 - Lyon

France Football
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 0
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Lyon November 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.26 / X 3.36 / 2 2.26
  • 1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 29.3% / X 28.5% / Lyon 42.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 29.3%
X 28.4%
2 42.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 47.4%
Under 2.5 52.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Lyon

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.27 market consensus · line only
X 3.36 market consensus · line only
1 3.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.36 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.65 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.99 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.38 29.6%
X 3.39 29.5%
2.29 43.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
3.20 31.3% 3.34 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.32 30.1% 3.38 29.6% 3.38 29.6%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.48 28.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.44 29.1% 3.39 29.5% 3.39 29.5%
2.25 44.4% 2.33 42.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.29 43.7% 2.29 43.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 2.10 47.6% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.68 59.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Stade Brestois 29
L L D D W
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:1 Le HavreLe Havre
25.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 3:3 LorientLorient
04.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:0 NantesNantes
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 AngersAngers
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Lyon
D W L L W
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 3:3 Paris FCParis FC
26.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
18.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:3 NiceNice
05.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:2 ToulouseToulouse
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 LilleLille
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade Brestois 29 - Lyon

Stade Brestois 29
0 matches total
Lyon
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history