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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
23.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Stade Brestois 29 - Metz

France Football
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
3 : 2
Finished
Metz
Metz

Stade Brestois 29 meet Metz on November 23, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Stade Brestois 29 0-2-3, Metz 3-0-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Stade Brestois 29, an implied 53% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Metz November 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Stade Brestois 29.

Line favourite market consensus: Stade Brestois 29. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.75 / 2 4.40
  • 1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 52.9% / X 25.4% / Metz 21.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 52.9%
X 25.4%
2 21.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 53.4%
Under 2.5 46.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Market 1 52.9% @ 1.80 / X 25.4% @ 3.75 / 2 21.7% @ 4.40
Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Metz

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.40 market consensus · line only
X 3.76 market consensus · line only
1 1.80 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.03 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.19 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.84 54.4%
X 3.85 26.0%
4.42 22.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.88 25.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6%
4.35 23.0% 4.05 24.7% 4.82 20.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 1.99 50.3% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.12 47.2%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Stade Brestois 29
L D L L D
08.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:3 MarseilleMarseille
02.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:0 LionLion
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:1 Le HavreLe Havre
25.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 3:3 LorientLorient
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Metz
W W W L L
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:1 NiceNice
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:0 NantesNantes
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:0 LensLens
26.10 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:6 LilleLille
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:4 ToulouseToulouse
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade Brestois 29 - Metz

Stade Brestois 29
0 matches total
Metz
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history