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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
20.09.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Stade Brestois 29 - Nice

France Football
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
4 : 1
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Nice September 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nice.

Line favourite market consensus: Nice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.19 / X 3.60 / 2 2.24
  • 1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 30.2% / X 26.8% / Nice 43.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 30.2%
X 26.8%
2 43.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 56.6%
Under 2.5 43.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.09.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Nice

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.24 market consensus · line only
X 3.61 market consensus · line only
1 3.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.69 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.38 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.37 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.27 30.6%
X 3.68 27.2%
2.22 45.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
3.30 30.3% 3.16 31.7% 3.14 31.9% 3.27 30.6% 3.27 30.6% 3.00 33.3%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.72 26.9% 3.64 27.5% 3.68 27.2% 3.68 27.2% 3.40 29.4%
2.17 46.1% 2.33 42.9% 2.24 44.6% 2.22 45.1% 2.22 45.1% 2.25 44.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.47 40.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.51 39.8% 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.41 70.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.32 75.8% 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.68 59.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Stade Brestois 29
L L L D L
14.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:2 Paris FCParis FC
29.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:3 LensLens
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:2 ToulouseToulouse
17.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 3:3 LilleLille
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:6 NiceNice
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.2 Conceded
1 Points
Nice
W L W L W
13.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:0 NantesNantes
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:3 Le HavreLe Havre
23.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
16.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 ToulouseToulouse
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 6:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade Brestois 29 - Nice

Stade Brestois 29
1 matches total
Nice
Stade Brestois 29: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nice: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Nice 0:6 (17.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (0:6, 17.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 0

Match history

17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29
0:6
Nice