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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
14.09.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Le Havre

France Football
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
1 : 0
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Le Havre September 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.76 / X 3.84 / 2 4.57
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 54.2% / X 24.8% / Le Havre 20.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 54.2%
X 24.9%
2 20.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 51.6%
Under 2.5 48.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Le Havre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.57 market consensus · line only
X 3.85 market consensus · line only
1 1.76 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.25 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.78 56.2%
X 3.90 25.6%
4.66 21.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.95 25.3% 3.97 25.2% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.85 26.0%
4.40 22.7% 4.25 23.5% 4.66 21.5% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.85 20.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.18 45.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Strasbourg
L W W L L
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:3 MonacoMonaco
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 NantesNantes
17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 MetzMetz
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:3 Le HavreLe Havre
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 AngersAngers
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Le Havre
W L L W L
31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 3:1 NiceNice
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:2 LensLens
16.08 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:3 MonacoMonaco
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 3:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:3 MarseilleMarseille
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.2 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Le Havre

Strasbourg
1 matches total
Le Havre
Strasbourg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Le Havre: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Le Havre 2:3 (17.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 17.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
2:3
Le Havre