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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
22.02.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
22.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Lyon

France Football
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
3 : 1
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Lyon February 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 3.50 / 2 2.87
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 40.1% / X 27.0% / Lyon 32.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 40.1%
X 27.0%
2 32.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 54.3%
Under 2.5 45.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Lyon

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.88 market consensus · line only
X 3.52 market consensus · line only
1 2.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.59 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.26 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.41 41.5%
X 3.67 27.3%
2.93 34.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.26 44.3% 2.37 42.2% 2.45 40.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.69 27.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
2.98 33.6% 2.86 35.0% 2.97 33.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.30 43.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.24 44.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.21 45.3% 2.38 42.0%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.59 62.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Strasbourg
D L L W W
14.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:2 MarseilleMarseille
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 Le HavreLe Havre
01.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
25.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 4:1 LilleLille
18.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:1 MetzMetz
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Lyon
W W W W W
15.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:0 NiceNice
07.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 NantesNantes
01.02 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 1:0 LilleLille
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 5:2 MetzMetz
18.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Lyon

Strasbourg
1 matches total
Lyon
Strasbourg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lyon: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lion 1:2 (26.10 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 26.10 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

26.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1:2
Lion