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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
18.01.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
18.01.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Metz

France Football
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Finished
Metz
Metz

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Metz January 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 4.80 / 2 7.40
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 67.3% / X 19.8% / Metz 12.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 67.4%
X 19.8%
2 12.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 56.2%
Under 2.5 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.01.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Metz

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.42 market consensus · line only
X 4.81 market consensus · line only
1 1.41 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.89 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.87 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.42 70.4%
X 4.91 20.4%
7.73 12.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.41 70.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0%
X 4.75 21.1% 4.95 20.2% 4.97 20.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.85 20.6%
7.10 14.1% 6.90 14.5% 7.90 12.7% 7.00 14.3% 8.00 12.5% 7.50 13.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.80 35.7% 2.96 33.8% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.87 34.8% 3.06 32.7%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Strasbourg
D D L L L
03.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:1 NiceNice
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:0 LorientLorient
06.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:1 ToulouseToulouse
30.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
22.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:1 LensLens
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
Metz
D L L L L
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:1 LorientLorient
13.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 1:3 AuxerreAuxerre
28.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 0:1 RennesRennes
23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Metz 2:3 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.2 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Metz

Strasbourg
1 matches total
Metz
Strasbourg: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Metz: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Strasbourg 1:0 (17.08 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 17.08 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

17.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1:0
Metz