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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
01.02.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
01.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Toulouse - Auxerre

France Football
Toulouse
Toulouse
0 : 0
Finished
Auxerre
Auxerre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toulouse - Auxerre February 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toulouse.

Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.81 / X 3.45 / 2 4.80
  • 1X2 market: Toulouse 52.6% / X 27.6% / Auxerre 19.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 52.6%
X 27.6%
2 19.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 42.5%
Under 2.5 57.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.02.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Toulouse - Auxerre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.81 market consensus · line only
X 3.45 market consensus · line only
1 1.81 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.03 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.67 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.85 54.1%
X 3.47 28.8%
4.86 20.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.76 56.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.87 53.5%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%
4.90 20.4% 4.45 22.5% 5.02 19.9% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0% 4.90 20.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.71 58.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.77 56.5%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 2.13 47.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6%
Match center
Toulouse
W W L W W
25.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
17.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 5:1 NiceNice
02.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:3 LensLens
13.12 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 3:0 Paris FCParis FC
06.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:0 StrasbourgStrasbourg
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Auxerre
L L L L W
23.01 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
17.01 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:1 LensLens
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:4 LilleLille
07.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Auxerre 3:1 MetzMetz
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Auxerre

Toulouse
1 matches total
Auxerre
Toulouse: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Auxerre: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Auxerre 0:1 (21.09 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 21.09 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse
0:1
Auxerre