Ligue 1
Toulouse - Marseille
Toulouse take on Marseille on March 7, 2026 in the Ligue 1, France.
Recent form (W-D-L): Toulouse 0-2-3, Marseille 1-2-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Marseille the favourite at about 43%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Toulouse - Marseille March 7, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.17 / X 3.47 / 2 2.18
- 1X2 market: Toulouse 29.7% / X 27.1% / Marseille 43.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Toulouse - Marseille
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 3.34 29.9% | |
| X | 3.53 28.3% |
| 2.25 44.4% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.14 31.9% | 3.10 32.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.30 30.3% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.68 27.2% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 2.18 45.9% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.20 45.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.36 42.4% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.64 61.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.35 74.1% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.65 60.6% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% |
Toulouse
Rennes
Paris FC
Le Havre
Angers
Auxerre
Marseille
Lion
Stade Brestois 29
Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Marseille
Overall statistics
Match history
Marseille
Marseille
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