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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
30.08.2025 19:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Toulouse - Paris Saint Germain

France Football
Toulouse
Toulouse
3 : 6
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Toulouse face Paris Saint Germain on August 30, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Toulouse 4-1-0, Paris Saint Germain 4-0-1. The bookmaker line makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at about 71%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toulouse - Paris Saint Germain August 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.54 / X 5.37 / 2 1.34
  • 1X2 market: Toulouse 11.2% / X 17.8% / Paris Saint Germain 71.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8% 14 books
1 11.2%
X 17.7%
2 71.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5 61.1%
Under 2.5 38.9%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.08.2025 19:05 UTC
Market 1 11.2% @ 8.54 / X 17.7% @ 5.37 / 2 71.1% @ 1.34
Match center

Toulouse - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.34 market consensus · line only
X 5.38 market consensus · line only
1 8.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 3.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.89 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
8.84 11.3%
X 5.63 17.8%
1.35 74.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
8.40 11.9% 8.20 12.2% 9.60 10.4% 8.00 12.5% 8.50 11.8% 9.50 10.5%
X 5.30 18.9% 5.30 18.9% 5.63 17.8% 4.80 20.8% 5.25 19.1% 5.60 17.9%
1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.07 93.5%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 3.25 30.8% 3.42 29.2% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.48 28.7%
Match center
Toulouse
W W W D W
24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
16.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:0 NiceNice
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 3:2 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:1 LensLens
03.05 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:1 RennesRennes
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Paris Saint Germain
W W W W L
22.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 AngersAngers
17.08 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 NantesNantes
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 4:1 Montpellier
03.05 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points