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Lithuania. League 1
Lithuania. League 1
28.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Lithuania. League 1

Dainava Alytus - Transinvest 2

Football
Dainava Alytus
Dainava Alytus
3 : 1
Finished
Transinvest 2
Transinvest 2
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Dainava Alytus — 76%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dainava Alytus): model 62% · market 82% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Dainava Alytus ✓ Pick76.1%
market82%
X · draw14.6%
market10%
2 · Transinvest 29.2%
market8%

Model estimate: win Dainava Alytus 76.1%, draw 14.6%, win Transinvest 2 9.2%. Model favourite — Dainava Alytus.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dainava Alytus (odds1.28) Score 2:0 confidence 65% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Daynava Alitus: probability 65% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dainava Alytus - Transinvest 2 July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dainava Alytus.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dainava Alytus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.07 / X 9.00 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Dainava Alytus 76.1% / X 14.6% / Transinvest 2 9.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 13.7%
1 ✓ Pick 82.2%
X 9.8%
2 8.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Dainava Alytus 4 : 1 Transinvest 2
11.23
X6.30
27.65

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
14 predictions Choose an outcome
1 75% 3
X 0% 0
2 25% 1
Total TB 3.5 1.89 (3) - TB 4.5 2.88 (1)
handicap1 handicap1:-2_5 2.24 (1) - handicap1:-2 1.89 (1) - handicap1:-1_5 1.57 (1)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 1.85 (1)
total_under_half1 TB 1.5 1.98 (1) - TB 2 3.08 (1)
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 13:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Dainava Alytus 75%
📐 Math model Dainava Alytus 76%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Dainava Alytus - Transinvest 2

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 4 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dainava Alytus 77.0% 76.1% market and model agree
Draw 14.4% 14.6% draw risk
Transinvest 2 8.7% 9.2%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 76.1% / 14.6% / 9.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,785 / 1,374 Dainava Alytus / Transinvest 2
RD 241 / 300 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,302-2,267 / 774-1,973 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.90 market consensus · no value · model 9.2%
X 9.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 76.1%
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 85.4%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 90.8%
X2 6.30 Fonbet · no value · model 23.9%
Handicap
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 7.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 5.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 5.00 20.0% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.12 89.3% 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.04 96.2%
1x 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0%
x2 3.90 25.6% 4.30 23.3% 6.30 15.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.64 61.0%
X 2.89 34.6%
6.50 15.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.99 50.3%
Under 1.5 1.73 57.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-0, avg 6.0 gls
2026-03-14 · Daynava 3:3 Transinvest B
Source: ruscore

Odds · 3 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.25 (Liga Stavok) · X 6.5 (Betcity) · 2 14.5 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Winline 1.24 5.4 9
Betcity 1.14 6.5 14.5
Liga Stavok 1.25 5.6 9
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Dainava Alytus
W W
12.06 14:00 UTC Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Dainava Alytus 2:0 Kauno Zhalgiris 2
08.06 14:00 UTC Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Dainava Alytus 1:0 GarliavaGarliava
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Transinvest 2
D W L
20.07 13:00 UTC+0 Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Transinvest 2 2:2 NeptunasNeptunas
14.06 12:00 UTC+0 Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Transinvest 2 2:1 Shaulyay 2
10.06 14:00 UTC+0 Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Transinvest 2 0:3 NeptunasNeptunas
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points