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Start
28.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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28.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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LIVAN: Premier League - Chempionship - Playoff Standings
Jwayya - Al Ansar Beirut
1
:
2
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Jwayya — 47%
Model estimate: win Jwayya 47.2%, draw 20.2%, win Al Ansar Beirut 32.6%. Model favourite — Jwayya.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Al Ansar Beirut (odds1.52)
Score 1:2
confidence 51%
✓ outcome correct · exact score
- • Model backs Al-Ansar: probability 51% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
- • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Jwayya - Al Ansar Beirut July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al Ansar Beirut.
Line favourite Fonbet: Al Ansar Beirut. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.60 / X 8.50 / 2 1.06
- Glicko: Jwayya 47.2% / X 20.2% / Al Ansar Beirut 32.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 21.3%
1
12.5%
X
9.7%
2
77.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Jwayya
0
:
3
Al Ansar Beirut
16.42
X3.64
21.49
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Jwayya - Al Ansar Beirut
Form
4/3
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
Line
More needed
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:2
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 47.2% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.717 / LogLoss 1.120
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 47.2% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.717 / LogLoss 1.120
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Jwayya
13.7%
47.2%
Glicko contrarian
Draw
23.7%
20.2%
draw risk
Al Ansar Beirut
62.5%
32.6%
market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
47.2% / 20.2% / 32.6%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,522 / 1,620
Jwayya / Al Ansar Beirut
RD
224 / 223
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,075-1,969 / 1,174-2,065
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.06
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 32.6%
X
8.50
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
6.60
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 47.2%
Double chance
12
1.04
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 79.8%
1X
6.80
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 67.4%
X2
1.08
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 52.8%
Handicap
2 -1
1.85
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.23
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
1.85
market consensus · line only
1 0
3.60
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.80
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.90
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
3.80
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.20
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 3.80 26.3% | 1.68 59.5% |
| yes | 1.20 83.3% | 2.07 48.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.04 96.2% |
| 1x | 6.80 14.7% |
| x2 | 1.08 92.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 6.70 14.9% | |
| X | 2.09 47.9% |
| 2.08 48.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.76 56.8% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-0-3, avg 2.0 gls
2026-07-16 · Dzhvaya 0:2 Al-Ansar
2026-06-24 · Dzhvaya 0:3 Al-Ansar
2025-12-14 · Dzhvaya 0:1 Al-Ansar
Source: ruscore
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 5.8 (Pari) · X 3.9 (Betcity) · 2 1.53 (Winline)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 5.8 | 3.65 | 1.5 |
| Winline | 5.6 | 3.75 | 1.53 |
| Fonbet | 5.8 | 3.65 | 1.5 |
| Betcity | 5.6 | 3.9 | 1.51 |
| Liga Stavok | 5.6 | 3.75 | 1.53 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Jwayya
L
W
L
D
Jwayya
1:2
Nedzhmekh
Nedzhmekh
Jwayya
2:0
Al-Akhed
Al-Akhed
Jwayya
0:2
Al-Ansar
Al-Ansar
Jwayya
0:0
Nedzhmekh
Nedzhmekh
1
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
4
Points
Al Ansar Beirut
D
D
W
Al Ansar Beirut
1:1
Al-Akhed
Al-Akhed
Al Ansar Beirut
1:1
Nedzhmekh
Nedzhmekh
Al Ansar Beirut
2:0
Jwayya
Jwayya
1
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.3
Scored
0.7
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyJwayya - Al Ansar Beirut
Jwayya
1
matches total
Jwayya: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Al Ansar Beirut: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Al-Ansar 0:2 (17.07 16:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (0:2, 17.07 16:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Jwayya
0:2
Al-Ansar
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form