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Mexico. Liga MX
Mexico. Liga MX
3-y Round 02.08.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction
02.08.2026 23:00 UTC 3-y Round
Finished

Mexico. Liga MX

Club America - Santos Laguna

Football
Stadium Atsteka (Mekhiko, Mexico), vmestimost: 81070
Club America
Club America
2 : 0
Finished
Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna

Club America meet Santos Laguna on August 2, 2026 in the Mexico. Liga MX.

Recent form (W-D-L): Club America 1-3-1, Santos Laguna 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 68% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Club America — 68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Club America): model 56% · market 74% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Club America ✓ Pick67.9%
market74%
X · draw18.6%
market15%
2 · Santos Laguna13.5%
market11%

Model estimate: win Club America 67.9%, draw 18.6%, win Santos Laguna 13.5%. Model favourite — Club America.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Club America (odds1.96) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Amerika: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.96)
  • • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Club America - Santos Laguna August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Club America.

Line favourite Fonbet: Club America. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.15 / X 5.70 / 2 8.00
  • Glicko: Club America 67.9% / X 18.6% / Santos Laguna 13.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 17.0%
1 ✓ Pick 74.3%
X 15.0%
2 10.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga MX
League table
Club America
#84 ptsGP 21-1-02:1
Santos Laguna
#170 ptsGP 20-0-22:4
Best price across 14 books
1 1.45 Betano
X 5.00 Unibet
2 7.05 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Club America
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.48 Conceded 1.35 xG 1.50 xGA 1.16 Corners 7.5
Santos Laguna
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.19 Conceded 1.72 xG 1.15 xGA 1.92 Corners 4.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Club America
Rating 1579 xG 1.96 Win 66%
Santos Laguna
Rating 1340 xG 0.75 Win 14%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Club America 3 : 1 Santos Laguna
11.33
X5.20
27.70

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Stadium Atsteka (Mekhiko, Mexico), vmestimost: 81070
Start 02.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 74.3% @ 1.15 / X 15.0% @ 5.70 / 2 10.7% @ 8.00
Match center

Club America - Santos Laguna

football, Amerika - Santos Laguna, 3 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Amerika - Santos Laguna, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Meksiki po futbolu (Liga MKh) 2027, 3-y Round.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Club America 68.7% 67.9% market and model agree
Draw 18.5% 18.6% draw risk
Santos Laguna 12.9% 13.5%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 67.9% / 18.6% / 13.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,582 / 1,341 Club America / Santos Laguna U19 (w)
RD 252 / 239 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,078-2,086 / 864-1,819 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.50 market consensus · no value · model 13.5%
X 5.70 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 67.9%
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 81.4%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 86.5%
X2 4.70 Fonbet · no value · model 32.1%
Handicap
2 -1 2.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.13 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.43 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.12 89.3% 1.83 54.6%
yes 5.20 19.2% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.01 99.0%
x2 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 4.70 21.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.86 53.8%
X 2.54 39.4%
7.20 13.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.61 62.1%
Over 1.5 2.33 42.9%
Under 1 2.23 44.8%
Under 1.5 1.56 64.1%
Match center
Lineup summary
  • 30 vr Rodolfo Kota
  • 34 zsch Dagoberto Espinosa
  • 29 zsch Ramon Khuares
  • 26 zsch Kristian Borkha
  • 4 zsch Sebastyan Kaseres
  • 28 pz Erik Sanches
  • 13 pz Alan Servantes
  • 23 pz Rafael Veyga
  • 20 pz Aleksis Guterres
  • 12 np Isayas Violante
Club America

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Santos Laguna

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

SStats Market - Form - H2H - Bookmakers
Match center
Club America
D W L D D
2026-07-25 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Club America Atlante 1:1 Club America
2026-07-19 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Club America Queretaro 0:1 Club America
2026-07-12 Club Friendly Games 2026
Club America LA Galaxy 1:0 Club America
2026-05-11 Liga MX, Clausura 2025, Playoffs
Club America Pumas UNAM 3:3 Club America
2026-05-03 Liga MX, Clausura 2025, Playoffs
Club America Club America 3:3 Pumas UNAM
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Santos Laguna
L L L W W
2026-07-26 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Santos Laguna 0:1 Atlas Santos Laguna
2026-07-19 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Monterrey 3:2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
2026-07-10 Club Friendly Games 2026
Santos Laguna 0:1 America de Cali Santos Laguna
2026-06-23 Club Friendly Games 2026
Annapolis Blues 0:2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
2026-04-26 Liga MX, Clausura 2026
Santos Laguna 3:0 Monterrey Santos Laguna
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Club America
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Santos Laguna
Club America Team comparison Santos Laguna
2 Games 2
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
2 Scored 2
1 Conceded 4
4 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 2
2 Games 2
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
2 Scored 2
1 Conceded 4

Amerika Santos Laguna 2 Games 2 1 Wins 0 1 Draws 0 Losses 2 Scored 2 1 Conceded 4 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 2 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 4.5 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 10.5 0 % vladeniya myachom 50 1.5 Warnings 0.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Enri Martin Dagoberto Espinosa 1:0 2' Nakazaniya Felipe Sanches 30'