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Mexico. Liga MX
Mexico. Liga MX
31.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Mexico. Liga MX

FC Juarez U21 - Pumas UNAM U21

Football
F
FC Juarez U21
0 : 0
Finished
P
Pumas UNAM U21
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Pumas UNAM U2150%

1 · FC Juarez U2130.5%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Pumas UNAM U2150.0%

Model estimate: win FC Juarez U21 30.5%, draw 19.4%, win Pumas UNAM U21 50.0%. Model favourite — Pumas UNAM U21.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Pumas UNAM U21 (odds4.00) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Pumas U21: probability 50% vs 25% on the line (odds 4.00)
  • edge over the line +25 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Juarez U21 - Pumas UNAM U21 July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Juarez U21.

Line favourite Fonbet: FC Juarez U21. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / X 5.60 / 2 4.00
  • Glicko: FC Juarez U21 30.5% / X 19.4% / Pumas UNAM U21 50.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 38.1%
1 69.0%
X 12.9%
2 18.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CAC Games
League table
FC Juarez U21
#13 ptsGP 11-0-01:0
ARRAY
Pumas UNAM U21
#50 ptsGP 10-0-10:1
ARRAY
Best price across 6 books
1 4.60 Marathonbet
X 3.98 Marathonbet
2 1.67 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

FC Juarez U21 2 : 1 Pumas UNAM U21
11.94
X3.34
23.83

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Market 1 69.0% @ 1.05 / X 12.9% @ 5.60 / 2 18.1% @ 4.00
Match center

FC Juarez U21 - Pumas UNAM U21

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 50.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.993 / LogLoss 1.639
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 50.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.993 / LogLoss 1.639
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
FC Juarez U21 54.0% 30.5% market favourite
Draw 23.3% 19.4% draw risk
Pumas UNAM U21 22.7% 50.0% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 30.5% / 19.4% / 50.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,300 / 1,472 FC Juarez U21 / Pumas UNAM U21
RD 292 / 285 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 717-1,883 / 902-2,041 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 50.0%
X 5.60 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.05 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 30.5%
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 80.6%
1X 1.18 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 50.0%
X2 7.90 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 69.5%
Handicap
2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.02 98.0%
yes 10.00 10.0%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.10 90.9%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8%
x2 2.06 48.5% 7.90 12.7%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
6.50 15.4%
12.00 8.3%
1.31 76.3% 1.85 54.1%
12.00 8.3%
1.08 92.6%
1.01 99.0%
3.10 32.3% 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 0.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 1.5 7.00 14.3%
Over 2.5 1.72 58.1% 10.00 10.0%
Over 3.5 10.50 9.5%
Under 0.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 1.5 1.07 93.5%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0% 1.02 98.0%
Under 3.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
FC Juarez U21
L D D W L
2026-07-17 U21 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
FC Juarez U21 FC Juarez U21 0:2 Puebla U21
2026-05-10 U21 Liga MX 25/26, Clausura Playoffs
FC Juarez U21 Guadalajara U21 0:0 FC Juarez U21
2026-05-08 U21 Liga MX 25/26, Clausura Playoffs
FC Juarez U21 FC Juarez U21 0:0 Guadalajara U21
2026-05-02 U21 Liga MX 25/26, Clausura Playoffs
FC Juarez U21 FC Juarez U21 3:0 Toluca U21
2026-04-29 U21 Liga MX 25/26, Clausura Playoffs
FC Juarez U21 Toluca U21 3:0 FC Juarez U21
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Pumas UNAM U21
D D D D L
2026-07-21 U21 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Toluca U21 1:1 Pumas UNAM U21 Pumas UNAM U21
2026-07-18 U21 Liga MX 26/27, Apertura
Pumas UNAM U21 1:1 Pachuca U21 Pumas UNAM U21
2026-05-02 U21 Liga MX 25/26, Clausura Playoffs
Club America U21 1:1 Pumas UNAM U21 Pumas UNAM U21
2026-04-29 U21 Liga MX 25/26, Clausura Playoffs
Pumas UNAM U21 1:1 Club America U21 Pumas UNAM U21
2026-04-25 U21 Liga MX 25/26, Clausura
Pachuca U21 3:0 Pumas UNAM U21 Pumas UNAM U21
0 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Juarez U21 - Pumas UNAM U21

FC Juarez U21
1 matches total
Pumas UNAM U21
FC Juarez U21: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Pumas UNAM U21: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Pumas UNAM U21 3:2 (2026-04-21) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 2026-04-21) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

2026-04-21 U21 Liga MX 25/26, Clausura
Pumas UNAM U21 3:2 FC Juarez U21