17.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Match prediction
Netherlands: First Division
Jong Utrecht meet Vitesse on August 17, 2026 in the Netherlands: First Division.
These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.
Double chance — Vitesse or draw 1.01
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Play-by-play
Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.25 44.4% |
| yes | 1.68 59.5% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.60 62.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 3.95 25.3% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.67 59.9% |
| x2 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.28 78.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.00 25.0% | |
| X | 2.39 41.8% |
| 2.43 41.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.3 | 3.75 | 1.85 |
| Winline | 3.3 | 3.6 | 1.95 |
| Fonbet | 3.3 | 3.75 | 1.85 |
| Betcity | 3.4 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| Liga Stavok | 3.3 | 3.6 | 1.96 |
Vitesse
Valveyk
Full head-to-head history: Jong Utrecht - Vitesse
The Jong Utrecht - Vitesse breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
| # | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emmen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Heracles Almelo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Almere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Vitesse | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Dordrecht | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Volendam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Venlo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Eindhoven | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Roda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Jong Eindhoven | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Waalwijk | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Den Bosch | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Helmond | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Oss | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Sportradar · Winline StatsHub
| 1 | Ndjoli, Jean Paul | HER | 4 |
| 2 | Cooper Love, Jack | EMM | 3 |
| 3 | Bannis, Naoufal | VIT | 3 |
| 4 | Quispel, Freddy | EMM | 3 |
| 5 | Veerman, Henk | VOL | 2 |
| 1 | Dundas, Noa | UTR | 1 |
| 2 | Van Den Berg, Connor | VIT | 1 |
| 3 | Mpanzu, Beni | DOR | 2 |
| 4 | Ouarghi, Ayoub | DOR | 2 |
| 5 | Huiberts, Dean | HEL | 2 |
Sportradar · Winline StatsHub
Sportradar · Winline StatsHub
| # | P | W | D | L | +/- | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vitesse Arnhem | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 19 | Jong FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Sportradar · Winline StatsHub
Sportradar · Winline StatsHub
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Vitesse. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
August 17, 2026.
Match markets