Who is the favourite in Cambuur vs Twente?

By the PropickAI model, Twente is favoured — about 71% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Cambuur vs Twente?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Twente. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Cambuur vs Twente?

Live odds for Cambuur vs Twente from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick Twente win probability ~71% confidence High best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Twente. Full breakdown below.

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Netherlands. Premier League

30.08.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

30.08.2026 18:00 UTC

Finished

Netherlands. Premier League

Cambuur vs Twente — Football prediction

Football

Stadium Kooi Stadion

Referee E. Blank

Cambuur

0 : 4

Finished

Twente

Cambuur face Twente in football, in Netherlands. Premier League, on 30 August 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Twente the favourite, with a win probability of about 71%. The bookmaker consensus (6 books) implies about 73% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 17%.

Detailed recent-game data is thin here, so the model leans mainly on the team ratings. Glicko ratings: Cambuur 1131, Twente 1500, a gap of 369 points. The game is part of Netherlands. Premier League.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. That is a 2-point gap to the market. For reliability the safer lean is a protected market on Twente (double chance, say) rather than the outright win alone. Key markers: an edge of 369 Glicko rating points, the model's 71% for Twente. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Twente — 71%

1 · Cambuur11.9%

market 11%

X · draw17.0%

market 16%

2 · Twente ✓ Pick71.1%

market 73%

Model estimate: win Cambuur 11.9%, draw 17.0%, win Twente 71.1%. Model favourite — Twente.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Double chance — Twente or draw 1.01

Model confidence 90% ~93% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Twente (odds1.33) Score 0:2 Under 3.5 (odds1.75) ✗ Handicap H2 -1.5 (odds1.85) ✓ confidence 64% ✓ outcome correct

• liniya na pik P2 1.35→1.33 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs Tvente: probability 64% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
• no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 0:2
• Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
• at line 3.5 (odds 1.75)
• Handicap F2 -1.5: score forecast 0:2 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cambuur - Twente August 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Twente.

Line favourite Fonbet: Twente. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 8.80 / X 8.50 / 2 1.01
Glicko: Cambuur 11.9% / X 17.0% / Twente 71.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9% 6 books

1 10.9%

X 16.5%

2 ✓ Pick 72.6%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Model O/U (market-implied)

Total 3.50 6 books

Over 3.50 48.5%

Under 3.50 51.5%

Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 1 7.70 ↑ 8.50

1X2 X 5.30 ↑ 5.60

1X2 2 1.35 ↓ 1.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Eredivisie

League table

Cambuur

#180 ptsGP 40-0-44:16

Twente

#76 ptsGP 32-0-17:3

Best price across 13 books

1 9.50 BetVictor

X 6.50 Bet365

2 1.34 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Cambuur

W-D-L 2-0-8 Scored 0.89 Conceded 2.91 xG 1.28 xGA 1.89 Corners 6.6

Twente

W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.69 Conceded 1.47 xG 2.12 xGA 1.30 Corners 5.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Injuries and absences

M. Hilgers — Knee Injury S. Lemkin — Injury R. van de Pavert — Personal Reasons Daan Visser — Knee Injury

Source: sstats_content

Model form (Glicko)

Cambuur

Rating 1196 xG 0.61 Win 9%

Twente

Rating 1595 xG 2.24 Win 75%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Cambuur

11%

18.00

Draw

17%

8.50

Twente

73%

1.30

Total

Over 28.5

50%

1.79

Under 28.5

50%

1.81

Both teams to score

Yes

57%

7.50

43%

2.17

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Cambuur 1 : 3 Twente

18.80

X6.10

21.31

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions

821 predictions Choose an outcome

1 2% 20

X 5% 43

2 92% 758

Match center

Stadium Kooi Stadion

Referee E. Blank

Start 30.08.2026 18:00 UTC

Market 1 9.3% @ 8.80 / X 9.6% @ 8.50 / 2 81.1% @ 1.01

🥊 Humans vs Machines

👥 Community Twente 92%

📐 Math model Twente 71%

💹 Market Twente 73%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Cambuur - Twente

Cambuur: win 7.00 Cambuur: draw 6.00 Twente win: 1.33 Obschiy Total goals Over 3.5: 2.00 Obschiy Total goals Under 3.5: 1.73 Individualnyy Total goals Cambuur Over 0.5: 1.53 Individualnyy Total goals Cambuur Under 0.5: 2.38 Individualnyy Total goals Twente Over 2.5…

Lineups 10/11 probable starting lineup

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:4

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 71.1% fact: away hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.127 / LogLoss 0.342

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 71.1% fact: away hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.127 / LogLoss 0.342

Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 71.1% fact: away hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.127 / LogLoss 0.342

Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 71.1% fact: away hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.127 / LogLoss 0.342

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Cambuur 10.9% 11.9%

Draw 16.8% 17.0% draw risk

Twente 72.3% 71.1% market and model agree

xG - 0.65 : 2.14

1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 11.9% / 17.0% / 71.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,131 / 1,500 Cambuur / Twente

RD 240 / 350 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 651-1,611 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 71.1%

X 8.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 8.60 market consensus · no value · model 11.9%

Double chance

12 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 83.0%

1X 3.38 market consensus · no value · model 28.9%

X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 88.1%

Handicap

2 +1 1.48 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 2.55 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 5.60 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Yes 7.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
no	1.05 95.2%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.17 46.1%
yes	7.50 13.3%	1.65 60.6%	1.65 60.6%	1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet
12	1.12 89.3%	1.12 89.3%	1.05 95.2%	1.13 88.5%	1.13 88.5%
1x	3.43 29.2%	3.30 30.3%	12.00 8.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%
x2	1.05 95.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.01 99.0%	1.06 94.3%	1.06 94.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	6.80 14.7%
X	3.05 32.8%
	1.65 60.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	1.92 52.1%
Under 1.5	1.82 55.0%

Match center

4-3-3 4-2-3-1

1 Teys Yansen

4 I. Baouf

6 Dzhamal Amofa

8 N. Souren

14 B. van Duijl

10 R. El Arguioui

23 L. Jetten

7 S. Bouhoudane

28 M. Costarelli

29 I. Henstra

16 Dzhoel Drommel

3 Robin Prepper

28 Bart van Roy

29 A. Adelgaard

43 R. Nijstad

6 Ramiz Zerruki

7 Marko Pyatsa

19 Y. Taha El Idrissi

27 Sondre Eryaseter

42 D. Weidmann

9 Vaut Vegorst

Cambuur

Formation 4-3-3

Probable starting lineup

1 TY Teys Yansen

Teys Yansen

4 IB I. Baouf

I. Baouf

6 DA Dzhamal Amofa

Dzhamal Amofa

8 NS N. Souren

N. Souren

14 BV B. van Duijl

B. van Duijl

10 RE R. El Arguioui

R. El Arguioui

23 LJ L. Jetten

L. Jetten

7 SB S. Bouhoudane

S. Bouhoudane

28 MC M. Costarelli

M. Costarelli

29 IH I. Henstra

Head coach J. Plat

Twente

Formation 4-2-3-1

Probable starting lineup

16 DD Dzhoel Drommel

Dzhoel Drommel

3 RP Robin Prepper

Robin Prepper

28 BV Bart van Roy

Bart van Roy

29 AA A. Adelgaard

A. Adelgaard

43 RN R. Nijstad

R. Nijstad

6 RZ Ramiz Zerruki

Ramiz Zerruki

7 MP Marko Pyatsa

Marko Pyatsa

19 YT Y. Taha El Idrissi

Y. Taha El Idrissi

27 SE Sondre Eryaseter

Sondre Eryaseter

42 DW D. Weidmann

D. Weidmann

9 VV Vaut Vegorst

Vaut Vegorst

Head coach Yon van den Brom

Cambuur

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Twente

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Formations 4-3-3 / 4-2-3-1

SStats Market - Glicko - Form - H2H

Match center

10 Matches 10

13 Goals 23

1.3 Per match 2.3

3 Wins 4

0 Draws 2

7 Losses 4

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-3, avg 3.33 gls

2026-08-30 · Kambyur 1:4 Tvente

2023-04-09 · Kambyur 0:4 Tvente

2022-10-23 · Kambyur 0:1 Tvente

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 7.5 (Pari) · X 5.4 (Pari) · 2 1.51 (Betcity)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	7.5	5.4	1.35
Winline	6.8	5	1.36
Fonbet	7.5	5.4	1.35
Betcity	5.9	4.3	1.51
Liga Stavok	7.2	5.4	1.35

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

35% Ball possession 65%

9 Vsego udarov 17

3 Shots on target 9

5 Shots off target 6

10 Udary ot vorot 7

1 Blokirovannye udary 2

14 Shtrafnye 6

2 Corners 9

2 Offsides 2

10 Auty 13

5 Saves 2

6 Fouls 14

1 Cards total 1

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

0 Second yellows 0

1 Travmy 0

5 Substitutions 5

Source: ruscore

Cambuur

L L L L L

2026-08-23 Eredivisie 26/27

Cambuur Cambuur 2:5 Feyenoord

2026-08-15 Eredivisie 26/27

Cambuur Fortuna Sittard 3:1 Cambuur

2026-08-07 Eredivisie 26/27

Cambuur Cambuur 0:4 Excelsior

2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026

Cambuur Bologna 3:1 Cambuur

2026-07-28 Club Friendly Games 2026

Cambuur Cambuur 1:2 Volos

0 Wins

0 Draws

5 Losses

1.0 Scored

3.4 Conceded

0 Points

Twente

W L W D L

2026-08-27 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Playoff Round

Qarabag 1:2 Twente Twente

2026-08-20 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Playoff Round

Twente 0:1 Qarabag Twente

2026-08-16 Eredivisie 26/27

Twente 3:1 PEC Zwolle Twente

2026-08-13 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification

DAK 1904 Dunajska Streda 3:3 Twente Twente

2026-08-09 Eredivisie 26/27

Heerenveen 1:0 Twente Twente

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Cambuur - Twente

Cambuur

3 matches total

Twente

Cambuur: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Twente: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Enschede 4:0 (2023-04-09) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (4:0, 2023-04-09) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 6

6 Goals conceded 0

Match history

2023-04-09 Eredivisie 26/27

Enschede 4:0 Cambuur

2022-10-23 Eredivisie 26/27

Cambuur 0:1 Enschede

2022-03-06 Eredivisie 26/27

Enschede 1:0 Cambuur

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Cambuur

Data 0 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Twente

Matches in history 22

Biggest draw 2:2

Highest-scoring match 4:2

Eredivizi 18 / 2 / 5 / 11 / 13 / 30

Erstedivizi 2 / 0 / 1 / 1 / 2 / 3

Cup Niderlandov 2 / 0 / 0 / 2 / 2 / 6

Cambuur vs Twente — Football prediction

AI match prediction Cambuur - Twente August 30, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Model O/U (market-implied)

Line movement

Statistics and model

Forecast by market

Score prediction

Unlock the full AI analysis

Cambuur - Twente

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match stats

Overall statistics

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions